‘Red Lines’ In Geopolitics: What They Actually Mean
If you have read the news at all lately, I’m sure you’ve seen the term or the concept of “red lines” thrown around an awful lot.
The United States supposedly has red lines in the Russian-Ukraine war, in Israel’s war, in the Venezuelan conflict, in the Asian theater, and all sorts of other places.
Red lines here, red lines there. Red lines all over the friggin’ place.
But the catch is that they are always broken. And nothing ever happens.
Common sense should tell us that these foreign states keep breaking our so-called red lines, but we keep funding and supporting them, so they aren’t exactly a red line.
One such example is this Zerohedge article about Ukraine’s actions in Russia:
Desperate Ukraine Launches Massive Kamikaze Drone Attack Against Russian Black Sea Coast, Sparking Fire At Major Refinery
In defiance of repeated warnings [red line] from the Biden administration, the Ukrainian military continues ramping up kamikaze drone attacks on the Russian energy complex, a move to crush the nation’s crude oil and crude product export revenues and curtail Moscow’s ability to fund President Putin’s ‘special operation’ in Ukraine.
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The problem? All of these so-called red lines are made up nonsense.
First off, the United States does not care at all if Ukraine is blowing up Russia’s oil refineries. Does any sane person genuinely think Washington gives a damn about that? We’re openly financing the entire war against Russia itself. Hell, I bet the United States is the one ordering those drone strikes on the refineries!
Our leaders simply claim we don’t want Ukraine to bomb Russia’s oil refineries. We claim it is a red line, even though we probably are the ones authorizing the strikes. They just don’t want to say the truth publically, for obvious reasons. It would make us look like the bad guys. Which we are.
The same logic applies to the other so-called red lines in the news. Like Biden’s “red line” of Israel not invading Rafah. Israel literally just did this, and we immediately sent them a boatload of more money and support.
Plus, it is not exactly rocket science to figure out that the United States actually wants Israel to invade its neighbors.
So much for a “red line”. More like a green light.
The similarities between this and Ukraine, Taiwan, and similar places are striking. The U.S. claims we have red lines that conveniently just keep shifting and also conveniently don’t matter at all once they are crossed.
For newcomers, this seems confusing. For those of us who have been around for a while, this is nothing new. But it’s helpful information to point out to get the newcomers up to speed.
So here is a little tidbit of information when looking at war-based geopolitics: very little said publicly is actually true. If there are actual red lines, they are being discussed and directed through covert intelligence channels. Anything being said publicly is just for show for the grey masses and to mask these kind of back room actual negotiations. Public red lines don’t exist.
If you ever hear of talk about red lines in the news, you can almost certainly know that whatever being discussed is not the actual red line, but a ploy. And once you see it is a ploy, you can figure out the root reason that is actually being stated publically.
For instance, the U.S. says a red line exists against Ukraine bombing oil refineries in Russia to make itself look like the sane party in the conflict, wanting to avoid escalation.
Likewise, the U.S. says a red line exists in Israel to appear as the moral “middleman”, giving the appearance that it cares about both justice for Israel and the innocent Gazan civilians.
Both “red lines” give a certain appearance to the U.S. that is beneficial for its strategic objectives. But covertly, the story for both of these is much deeper.
As usual, the truth always goes much deeper than initially meets the eye. Look for it and you’ll find it. It is usually right out there in the open; it is just a little hard to see at first for the untrained eye.
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